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True Cost Insights

Toyota RAV4 vs Nissan Rogue: which costs less to own?

RAV4 Hybrid comes out cheaper in 16 of 20 ways the next 8 years could go — by about $20 a month. That’s at US average prices and 12,000 miles a year, as of Sep 7, 2026.

16 of 20 futuresRAV4 Hybrid costs less in 16 of 20 possible futures; Rogue in 4.

Each mark is one way the next 8 years could go.

Make it yours ↓Your state and habits change it.
  • Live source

    Weekly retail gasoline prices by state and region

    U.S. Energy Information Administration

    Data as of Sep 7, 2026.

    Weekly average for the state where EIA reports one, otherwise for its region.

  • Research source

    2026 Toyota RAV4 starting price

    Edmunds

    Checked Sep 14, 2026.

    LE, including $1,450 destination. Dealers may charge more or less; type your own price for a better answer.

  • Research source

    2026 Nissan Rogue starting price

    Kelley Blue Book

    Checked Sep 14, 2026.

    S, including destination. Dealers may charge more or less; type your own price for a better answer.

Cars you’re comparing

  • 2026 Toyota RAV4 Hybrid

    43 city / 37 hwy mpg

    Buy new for about $33,400 · maker’s starting price

  • 2026 Nissan Rogue

    29 city / 36 hwy mpg

    Buy new for about $30,600 · maker’s starting price

Two questions

  1. How much do you drive in a year?
8 years

What would change the answer

  • If you drive under 6,000 miles a year, Rogue comes out ahead.
  • If you can get Rogue for under $29,000, it comes out ahead.

Why it comes out this way

Typical amounts over 8 years. Everything counts: the car losing value, gas or charging, insurance, repairs, taxes, and loan interest.

Pay now, then every month

CarUp frontA month, all-inTotal
RAV4 Hybrid$36,240$744$71,397
Rogue$33,244$764$73,345

“A month, all-in” spreads every cost, including the value the car loses, over the months you keep it.

Where the money goes

The biggest difference is gas & charging: RAV4 Hybrid saves about $3,021 there.

  • Gas & charging

    RAV4 Hybrid: $11,881
    Rogue: $14,902
  • Upkeep & repairs

    RAV4 Hybrid: $13,056
    Rogue: $14,124
  • Insurance

    RAV4 Hybrid: $14,471
    Rogue: $13,403
  • Loan interest

    RAV4 Hybrid: $6,263
    Rogue: $5,738
  • Value lost

    RAV4 Hybrid: $21,139
    Rogue: $20,807
  • Taxes & fees

    RAV4 Hybrid: $5,004
    Rogue: $4,808
Show as a table
Cost RAV4 Hybrid Rogue
Gas & charging$11,881$14,902
Upkeep & repairs$13,056$14,124
Insurance$14,471$13,403
Loan interest$6,263$5,738
Value lost$21,139$20,807
Taxes & fees$5,004$4,808

Year by year

RAV4 Hybrid earns back its extra up-front cost by year 1 in 18 of 20 futures.

Typical total cost so far, year by yearRAV4 Hybrid: $71,397 by year 8; Rogue: $73,345 by year 8.$0$50kTodayYr 2Yr 4Yr 6Yr 8RogueRAV4 Hybrid

Big repair risk, out of 100

About how many owners in 100 pay for a new battery within 8 years.

Fewer than 1 in 100: RAV4 Hybrid needs a new battery

What we assumed, and where it came from
Gas, regular
$4.16 a gallon

Live source

Weekly retail gasoline prices by state and region

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Data as of Sep 7, 2026.

Weekly average for the state where EIA reports one, otherwise for its region.

Premium and diesel
$5.17 and $5.97

Live source

National average fuel prices

U.S. Department of Energy (fueleconomy.gov)

Data as of Sep 14, 2026.

Premium and diesel are priced from how they compare with regular nationally.

Insurance, state average
$1,704 a year

Research source

Auto Insurance Database Report (2023 data)

National Association of Insurance Commissioners

Checked Jan 1, 2023.

2023 state averages brought to today with the BLS insurance price index (×1.18).

Sales tax
7.00%

Research source

State and local sales tax rates, midyear 2026

Tax Foundation

Checked Jul 2026.

Combined state and average local rate; some states tax cars at a different rate.

Loan rate
8.1%; 5 years and 15% down are our typical terms

Live source

Average 60-month new car loan rate at commercial banks

Federal Reserve Board, via FRED

Data as of May 2026.

Average 60-month new car loan rate at banks, plus 1 point for a typical borrower.

Weather, for battery range in cold and heat
Monthly averages

Live source

Statewide monthly temperatures and heating/cooling degree days

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information

Data as of Dec 2025.

Average temperature for each month over the last 10 years.

Car prices you didn’t type
Segment averages

Our estimate

Average transaction prices by segment, August 2026

Kelley Blue Book / Cox Automotive

Checked Aug 2026.

Average price paid for cars in the same segment, adjusted by powertrain. Type your own price for a better answer.

No federal clean vehicle credit is counted: it ended for cars bought after September 30, 2025. Internal Revenue Service, checked Sep 14, 2026. State and utility rebates vary; add one where the tool asks.

Every number the model uses, with its source, is on the math page.

For the curious: all the numbers

We play out 1,000 futures. Each draws its own gas and electricity prices, miles, repair bills, insurance, and resale prices, and every car lives through the same ones. The 20 dots on the answer card are evenly spaced picks from those futures.

Total cost over 8 years
OptionA good caseTypicalA bad casePer mile
RAV4 Hybrid$64,148$71,397$80,101$0.74
Rogue$65,926$73,345$82,332$0.76

What moves the gap most

The unknowns whose ups and downs most change which option comes out ahead. A good or bad case is 1 future in 10 at that end.

  • How much you actually drivea little
  • Your insurance ratesa little
  • Future gas pricesa little
  • Used-car prices when you sella little
  • Used EV prices when you sella little

Try other assumptions

Each change replays every future. Watch which coins move.

Paying for it
What if prices jump?

What goes into it

Typical cost of each part over 8 years, at US average prices
CostRAV4 HybridRogue
Starting price$33,400$30,600
Value lost$21,139$20,807
Gas & charging$11,881$14,902
Insurance$14,471$13,403
Upkeep & repairs$13,056$14,124
Taxes & fees$5,004$4,808
Loan interest$6,263$5,738
All-in, each month$744$764
Where the money goes over 8 yearsRAV4 Hybrid: $71,814 in all (Value lost $21,139, Gas & charging $11,881, Insurance $14,471, Upkeep & repairs $13,056, Taxes & fees $5,004, Loan interest $6,263). Rogue: $73,782 in all (Value lost $20,807, Gas & charging $14,902, Insurance $13,403, Upkeep & repairs $14,124, Taxes & fees $4,808, Loan interest $5,738).RAV4 Hybrid$71,814Rogue$73,782
Each bar stacks the typical costs in the table, one color per cost. Money back at the end is left out of the bars.

Questions people ask

Which costs more up front, the RAV4 Hybrid or the Rogue?

The RAV4 Hybrid starts at about $33,000 and the Rogue at about $31,000 before tax and fees. RAV4 Hybrid costs $3,000 more up front, once tax, fees, and financing are in.

How long does the RAV4 Hybrid take to pay for itself?

RAV4 Hybrid earns back its extra up-front cost by year 1 in 18 of 20 futures.

Which uses less fuel, the RAV4 Hybrid or the Rogue?

The EPA rates the 2026 RAV4 Hybrid at 43 city / 37 hwy mpg and the 2026 Rogue at 29 city / 36 hwy mpg. At 12,000 miles a year, fuel comes to about $11,881 versus $14,902 over 8 years.

What would change the answer?

If you drive under 6,000 miles a year, Rogue comes out ahead. If you can get Rogue for under $29,000, it comes out ahead.

How sure is this?

We ran 1,000 possible futures of prices, repairs, and resale over 8 years. In 8 of 10, the result falls between Rogue $700 cheaper and RAV4 Hybrid $4,800 cheaper. In the middle one, RAV4 Hybrid comes out $1,900 cheaper.